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Model Documentation

Prediction Market Models

Prediction market analysis powered by ensemble weather forecasting and calibrated probability engines.

Available Models

Oracle

Finds the sharpest Polymarket traders and posts a pick when one of them buys in a market where it has proven itself. Auto-trade can buy it on your own account.

Key Features

  • Wallets judged in their own market type, after fees
  • New trades read about once a minute, all day
  • Price checked against the wallet’s entry before posting
  • Pick closes when the wallet sells

Weather Temperature

Daily high temperature predictions for global cities using ensemble forecast modeling.

Key Features

  • Multi-model ensemble aggregation
  • Station-specific bias correction
  • Calibrated probability distributions
  • Global 11-city coverage

Crypto Up/Down

Daily BTC and ETH direction predictions on Polymarket using multi-signal analysis and correlation intelligence.

Key Features

  • Multi-signal intelligence (price, derivatives, flows, macro)
  • Calibrated probability estimates
  • Correlation-aware ETH relay
  • Kelly-criterion position sizing