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Model Documentation
Prediction Market Models
Prediction market analysis powered by ensemble weather forecasting and calibrated probability engines.
Available Models
Weather Temperature
Daily high temperature predictions for global cities using ensemble forecast modeling.
Key Features
- Multi-model ensemble aggregation
- Station-specific bias correction
- Calibrated probability distributions
- Global 11-city coverage
Oracle
Algorithmic sharp wallet detection that identifies the highest-conviction Polymarket traders and surfaces their best positions.
Key Features
- Statistically validated sharp wallets
- Real-time trade ingestion
- Weighted consensus signals
- Two-step price verification
Crypto Up/Down
Daily BTC and ETH direction predictions on Polymarket using multi-signal analysis and correlation intelligence.
Key Features
- Multi-signal intelligence (price, derivatives, flows, macro)
- Calibrated probability estimates
- Correlation-aware ETH relay
- Kelly-criterion position sizing