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Model Documentation
NHL Models
Deep-dive into the methodology, edge detection, and operational details for our NHL prediction models.
Available Models
NHL Totals
Game total (over/under) predictions based on team offensive and defensive metrics.
Key Features
- Goals For/Against modeling
- Goaltender adjustments
- Special teams analysis
- Back-to-back game factors
NHL Moneyline
Win probability predictions using team strength, goalie metrics, and situational factors.
Key Features
- xG-based team strength differential
- GSAx goaltender advantage
- Rest and travel adjustments
- Advanced Corsi/Fenwick metrics
NHL Model Overview
Our NHL models focus on game totals, leveraging hockey-specific factors that drive scoring outcomes:
- 1.Team scoring rates - Goals For and Goals Against per 60 minutes at 5v5, power play, and penalty kill situations.
- 2.Goaltender performance - Starting goalie save percentage adjustments and recent form weighting.
- 3.Schedule factors - Back-to-back games, travel distance, and rest day advantages.
- 4.Four-gate filtering - Same rigorous quality filters as all Optiqal models.